Join a dynamic team within the Office of the Chief Financial Officer, where you'll oversee the development and distribution of macroeconomic scenarios integral to the Firm's forecasting processes. Collaborate with the Economics and Strategy Research teams, Chief Risk Officer, Chief Financial Officer, Financial Planning teams, and other corporate areas. The scenarios encompass projections of key U.S. and global macroeconomic indicators, interest rates, equities, FX and credit markets, real estate markets, etc. Accordingly, a broad knowledge base in economics and finance is essential. The team develops scenarios across a range of potential economic backdrops, which are distributed Firmwide.

As a Firmwide Economic Scenarios Vice President in the Office of the Chief Financial Officer, you will play an integral role in the team’s scenario design work and macroeconomic forecasting. You will directly execute forecasts for macroeconomic variables, consult with Subject Matter Experts, present to key stakeholders, interact with senior leaders, and lead junior team members.

 

Job Responsibilities:

Lead the execution of macroeconomic forecasts that form the basis of the scenarios, working closely with key forecasting partners and scenarios users.Monitor economic releases and events, prepare commentary, track evolving risks, stay abreast of trends in economics and financial markets, and anticipate implications for macroeconomic forecasting and scenario design.Lead communication and meetings across various functions, locations, and lines of business to facilitate discussions, set priorities, and ensure alignment among stakeholders and senior management.Oversee multiple project workstreams, manage inbound inquiries, deliverables, and ad-hoc requests, with an emphasis on accuracy and timeliness in meeting deliverables within prescribed timelines.Develop executive-level presentations for senior management and internal stakeholders.Collaborate with quantitative model development teams to guide the development and enhancement of macroeconomic forecasting methodologies.Lead ad-hoc analysis and conduct economic research as needed.

Required Qualifications, Skills, and Capabilities:

Strong quantitative skills: Master’s degree in Economics, Econometrics, Quantitative Finance, or a related field.Extensive (8+ years) experience in research, forecasting, or business analytics for a leading financial institution, central bank, consulting firm, or similar, with a strong background and interest in economics. A PhD may be considered as part of this experience.Advanced Excel and Microsoft Office skills and experience in at least one programming language or statistical software (e.g., Python, R, EViews, Excel VBA).Exceptionally detail-oriented with the ability to synthesize large volumes of data and diverse perspectives, summarize key concepts, and clearly articulate relevant conclusions.Excellent organizational and verbal and written communication skills.A proven track record of executing against deliverables and meeting deadlines under pressure.Self-starter, with the ability to multitask in a fast-paced environment with frequently changing priorities.Works well individually and in teams, shares information, supports colleagues, and fosters participation.

Preferred Qualifications, Skills, and Capabilities:

Experience with scenario design in the context of CCAR, CECL, etc. is a plus.Prior knowledge and coverage of major non-U.S. economies would be considered a plus.Experience in forecasting, statistical analysis, or research on macroeconomic and/or financial variables would be considered a plus.Experience with structural and semi-structural macroeconomic forecasting models (e.g., DSGE, FRB/US, NiGEM), or other time-series econometric models is considered a plus.Experience working with machine learning, AI, or language models is considered a plus.PhD is considered a plus.